Tuesday 14 October 2014

where is S&P 500 heading to?






A lot of people died-ed-ed and don't know why.
if S&P 500 cannot stay above 1906, the next level will be 1770 -1800. 
invest safely.

Tuesday 23 September 2014

Unit trust cannot make money? 投資基金六守則(胡立陽)




I always heard people said that unit trust cannot make money.
this is not true. click here
why people lose money in unit trust because they leave it with fund manager.
You should always treat unit trust like your stocks.

eg. If china is not doing well and US is doing well, we can always shift our money to US unit trust.
We are RETAIL INVESTOR not fund manager, fund managers have no choice but to keep on invest according to their job scope.

I shall end this with this video
投資基金六守則(胡立陽)

Sunday 14 September 2014

Sunday 24 August 2014

No BS. No promising high returns. No get rich quick here. Just 10 mins a day, 发达 all the way.





















I received few PMs and emails again .
Asking why no updates from my fb and blog for the last 1 week?
fingers become itchy when nothing to invest or trade ?
U no need to trade everyday.
I ald said long till it reverse.
C my fb post again.
1 week up by 2.1%.
























Month of July, if u have followed me, smelly smelly 4% gain.

No BS. No promising high returns. No get rich quick here.

Just 10 mins a day, 发达 all the way.

Tuesday 12 August 2014

Do you know that trading and investment is a open book exam?

Why I love trading and investment?

Do you know that trading and investment is a open book exam?

Every morning you just need to open your textbook to look for your answer (investment decision whether to open/close your positions)

Everything is found in your textbook.

I believe everyone can score at least  "B" for your open book exam, right?

Exam duration: 30 min
Passing Score: B

Can you can pass it?

Tuesday 8 July 2014

Is there really a way to detect whether recession is coming?

I am one of the few who call for a bull market last year despite so many bad news, eg debt ceiling crisis, tapering , US government shut down etc .
Who want to know why am I so confident? 
Is there really a way to detect whether recession is coming?


Photo: I am one of the fews who call for a bull market last year despite so many bad news, eg debt ceiling crisis, tapering , US government shut down etc .
Who want to know why am I so confident? 
Is there really a way to detect whether recession is coming?

Sunday 6 July 2014

Does Dollar Cost Averaging works? - Part 2

One must understand how DCA works. It only work in uptrend or recovery markets. And please take note that I never said DCA won't work at all, but DCA won't work in a down trend market. 

Qn:  DCA can apply in STI or China in the long term. says 10-20 years? 

Ans: Yes. Cos China & STI will be in the uptrend in the long term. Question is whether this person can/willing to invest for a period of 10-20 years. And will this person give up half-way and stop investing when he or she see their portfolio dropping by 30-50% during the downtrend/recession, for example 2008-2009 or not growing after investing for a few years.

See what happen by DCA in China for past 5 years, how much opportunity have this person lost. 

Why can't we wait till the market bottom up and start buying in the uptrend.

Buy Low Sell High is always the most basic fundamental of investing.

And please take note that DCA cannot apply to individual stock.

"Buy low and sell high. It's pretty simple. The problem is what's low and what's high" 
- Jim Rogers

Friday 27 June 2014

Does Dollar Cost Averaging works?

dollar cost averaging - DCA is a popular concept in the financial markets.
but please understand the concept of DCA before applying. 
this is only my view - 

markets moves in 3 directions - uptrend, sideways/recovery and downtrend.
DCA only works in the uptrend and sidesway/recovery markets and not downtrend market.
try DCA in nikkei market. i don't know how much u have make over here.



Photo: http://www.fool.sg/2014/06/10/why-its-okay-to-invest-even-at-a-market-high/

dollar cost averaging - DCA is a popular concept in the financial markets.
but please understand the concept of DCA before applying. 
this is only my opinion - 

markets moves in 3 directions - uptrend, sideways/recovery and downtrend.
DCA only works in the uptrend and sidesway/recovery markets and not downtrend market. 
try DCA in nikkei market. i don't know how much u have make over here.


China - last 5 years
Long term china will still go up . But how much opportunity have u lost in the last 5 year



Photo: China - last 5 years 
Long term china will still go up . But how much opportunity have u lost in the last 5 year.

Tuesday 29 April 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 29 APRIL 2014

When large fund (big boys)  have already get out of the market or in defensive stocks, where should you park your money in?


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US Market Sentiment

Short Term     - neutral / bearish


Long Term      -  Bullish
*******************************************

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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bullish

Long Term     -  Bullish (28/4/2014) **

** However, big boys was seen leaving SG on last friday, 25/4/2014
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Disclaimer applied.

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Thursday 20 March 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 20 MARCH 2014



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US Market Sentiment

Short Term     - neutral / bearish


Long Term      -  Bullish

Those who have weak heart . My advise is to stay out of the market . Don't say I never warn you . 

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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bullish turning to bearish soon


Long Term      -  Bearish

** long term is still bearish. I know a few people invested in STI/Sg funds is not making any profits . Since nov 2013, I already blogged that long term for SG is bearish. Refer to my NOV post. 

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Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
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Wednesday 5 March 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 5 MARCH 2014



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US Market Sentiment

Short Term     - although s&p500 keep on breaking new highs. My view is still neutral. my funds is still in the bond fund.
Sit back and relax .


Long Term      -  Bullish

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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

********************************************

Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Monday 24 February 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 24 FEBRUARY 2014

Laptop crashed. 

I have updated 3 weeks ago that short term market sentiment have turned bearish.

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - waiting for confirmation. It will be either a BIG UP or BIG DOWN. Watch out.


Long Term      -  Bullish

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Resistance level: 1850

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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

********************************************

Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Monday 10 February 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 10 FEBRUARY 2014

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - Bearish


Long Term      -  Bullish

*******************************************
Resistance level 1: 1800
Resistance level 2: 1850

Support level 1: 1750
Support level 2: 1700


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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

********************************************

Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Saturday 8 February 2014

So what is support?

I have enquiries asking me what do i mean by support level.

In my previous post, i mentioned 2 support level 1750 & 1700 to watch out, market-sentiment-3-february-2014.

So what is support?

support level is a price level where the price tends to find support as it is going down. This means the price is more likely to "bounce" off this level rather than break through it. However, once the price has passed this level, by an amount exceeding some noise, it is likely to continue dropping until it finds another support level.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Support_and_resistance#Support


Monday 3 February 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 3 FEBRUARY 2014

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - Bearish


Long Term      -  Bullish

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S&P 500 did not manage to stay above 1800.
Month of Jan down by -3.6%.

My short term sentiment have turn bearish. please take note.

Support level 1: 1750
Support level 2: 1700

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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

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Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Sunday 26 January 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 27 JANUARY 2014

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - Bullish ( it may turn from bullish to bearish in 1-2 weeks; disclaimer applied)


Long Term      -  Bullish

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S&P 500 broke support 1800. No good. Due for correction.

Support level 1: 1760
Support level 2: 1700

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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

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Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Monday 20 January 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 20 JANUARY 2014

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - Bullish


Long Term      -  Bullish

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S&P 500 closed flat again last week +0.2%.
Month of Jan 2014 -0.1%.

Mr Market still waiting for good news to push it up further.



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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

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STI closed flat again last week -0.1%.
Month of Jan 2014 -0.9%.

Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Monday 13 January 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 13 JANUARY 2014

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - Bullish


Long Term      -  Bullish

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S&P 500 up +0.6% last week.


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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

********************************************

STI up 0.4% last week.

Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring

Monday 6 January 2014

MARKET SENTIMENT - 6 JANUARY 2014

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US Market Sentiment 

Short Term     - Bullish


Long Term      -  Bullish

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S&P 500 ended 2013 with a BIG BANG, +29.6%. Did you miss the boat?

2013 have past. So what is next for 2014?


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SG Market Sentiment - 

Short Term     -  Bearish


Long Term      -  Bearish

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How about STI?

I have started blogging about market sentiment for SG on NOV 2013. If you invested in STI, and not making any profits, maybe you can take a look here and find out why? click here. market-sentiment-11-november-2013.

My SG market sentiment is BEARISH for LONG TERM.


Disclaimer applied.

Share with your friends if you have benefit from my blog. 
Sharing is Caring